Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000205 0.000229 0.000255 0.000284 0.000317 0.000353 0.000395
2025-02-23 0.000169 0.000201 0.000238 0.000283 0.000337 0.000398 0.000475
2025-03-02 0.000141 0.000177 0.000221 0.000277 0.000348 0.000435 0.000548
2025-03-09 0.000121 0.000160 0.000209 0.000276 0.000363 0.000475 0.000629
2025-03-16 0.000107 0.000147 0.000201 0.000276 0.000379 0.000517 0.000716
2025-03-23 0.000096 0.000137 0.000194 0.000277 0.000396 0.000561 0.000808
2025-03-30 0.000085 0.000127 0.000186 0.000275 0.000408 0.000598 0.000894
2025-04-06 0.000078 0.000120 0.000181 0.000277 0.000424 0.000643 0.000993
2025-04-13 0.000071 0.000113 0.000176 0.000277 0.000438 0.000685 0.001092
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000105 0.000168 0.000273 0.000445 0.000715 0.001176
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000103 0.000169 0.000283 0.000473 0.000781 0.001321
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000100 0.000168 0.000287 0.000494 0.000836 0.001453
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000095 0.000165 0.000290 0.000513 0.000892 0.001595
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000090 0.000160 0.000290 0.000525 0.000939 0.001725
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000084 0.000153 0.000284 0.000530 0.000971 0.001832
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000080 0.000149 0.000283 0.000540 0.001014 0.001964
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000076 0.000145 0.000283 0.000554 0.001065 0.002115
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.000073 0.000142 0.000284 0.000569 0.001121 0.002280
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000069 0.000138 0.000282 0.000579 0.001165 0.002426
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000067 0.000136 0.000284 0.000595 0.001224 0.002610
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000064 0.000133 0.000285 0.000609 0.001280 0.002790
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000061 0.000129 0.000281 0.000614 0.001316 0.002930
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000060 0.000131 0.000290 0.000648 0.001417 0.003224